Question: Forecasting 1. Demand data collected on yearly registrations for a Six Sigma seminar at the Quality College are shown in the following table Year 1

Forecasting 1. Demand data collected on yearly registrations for a Six Sigma seminar at the Quality College are shown in the following table

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Registration 4000 6000 4000 5000 10000 8000 7000 9000 12000 14000 15000

a. Estimate (forecast) demand again for years 4-12 with a 3-year weighted moving average in which registrations in the most recent year are given a weight of 0.50, 0.25, and 0.25.

b. Estimate (forecast) demand again for years 1-12 using exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3. To being, assume that the forecast for year 1 was 5,000 people.

c. Compute the MAD forecasting error for each forecast. Which forecast is better?

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