Question: A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks. Activity Preceding Optimistic Time Probable Time Pessimistic Time Expected
A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
| Activity | Preceding | Optimistic Time | Probable Time | Pessimistic Time | Expected Time | Variance |
| A | -- | 7 | 10 | 19 | ||
| B | A | 2 | 2 | 8 | ||
| C | A | 8 | 12 | 16 | ||
| D | A | 3 | 5 | 10 | ||
| E | B | 4 | 6 | 8 | ||
| F | B | 6 | 8 | 10 | ||
| G | C, F | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||
| H | D | 2 | 2 | 8 | ||
| I | H | 6 | 8 | 16 | ||
| J | G, I | 4 | 6 | 14 | ||
| K | E, J | 2 | 5 | 8 |
(a) Calculate the expected time and variance for each activity. Enter these values in the appropriate columns in the table above. (b) Which activities form the critical path? (c) What is the estimated time of the critical path? (d) What are the project variance and the project standard deviation?
(e) What is the probability of completion of the project before week 42?
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