Question: Create a 4 period moving average with additive trend in excel using StockPriceTimeSeries. Optimize the model for the value of x that minimizes the MSE.
Create a 4 period moving average with additive trend in excel using StockPriceTimeSeries. Optimize the model for the value of x that minimizes the MSE. Calculate the MSE for the model and next years prediction.
What is the MSE for this model? (use 2 decimal places)
StockPriceTimeSeries (DATA)
| Time Period | Stock Price |
| 2000 | 70.23 |
| 2001 | 72.39 |
| 2002 | 72.93 |
| 2003 | 73.65 |
| 2004 | 73.65 |
| 2005 | 74.27 |
| 2006 | 74.22 |
| 2007 | 74.47 |
| 2008 | 74.99 |
| 2009 | 75.95 |
| 2010 | 76.51 |
| 2011 | 77.79 |
| 2012 | 78.35 |
| 2013 | 79.41 |
| 2014 | 80.46 |
| 2015 | 80.53 |
| 2016 | 80.99 |
| 2017 | 81.56 |
| 2018 | 82.21 |
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